Medium-scale natural disaster risk scenario analysis: a case study of Pingyang County, Wenzhou, China

发布者:系统管理员发布时间:2014-05-22浏览次数:802

题名:Medium-scale natural disaster risk scenario analysis: a case study of Pingyang County, Wenzhou, China

领域:GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY 三区

来源:NATURAL HAZARDS

发表年代:2013年
作者:Jun Wang , Zhenlou Chen, Shiyuan Xu ,Beibei Hu

 

A series of empirical studies involving typhoon rainstorm and flood risk scenario analysis were carried out on a medium spatial scale, covering Pingyang County. Considering a rainstorm/water-logging conversion process, active flooding submergence and per unit area values (million yuan/km2), two typical risk scenarios (50- and 100-year frequency) were simulated and analyzed. The study revealed that high-risk areas distributed across the towns of Aojiang, Qiancang and Xiaojiang, with a maximum submerged depth of 4.61 m for a 100-year flood hazard. In the case of a disaster loss rate[65 %, the potential maximum loss could be more than 10 million yuan/km2. For medium-scale disaster risk, more attention must be paid to catastrophic events, which have a low probability of occurrence but would induce great losses. An amended risk formula could determine the degree of priority for responses to hazards of equal risk value better. In Pingyang County, the 50-year flood risk for Kunyang, Aojiang, Qiancang and Xiaojiang is greater than that of 100-year events for the next 50 years. However, these areas should give priority to their responses to 100-year disaster events during the next 100 years. In addition, the attention of disaster risk should vary in different spatial regions.


全文链接地址: 2013_SCI_Quantitative Assessment of Soil Health Under Different Planting Patterns and Soil Types